President Barack Obama handily
defeated Gov. Mitt Romney and won himself a second term Tuesday after a bitter
and historically expensive race that was primarily fought in just a handful of
battleground states. Networks project that Obama beat Romney after nabbing the
crucial state of Ohio....>>>
The
Romney campaign's last-ditch attempt to put blue-leaning Midwestern swing
states in play failed as Obama's Midwestern firewall sent the president back to
the White House for four more years. Obama picked up the swing states of New
Hampshire, Michigan, New Mexico, Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado, Nevada,
Pennsylvania, Minnesota, and Ohio. Florida and Virginia are still too close to
call, but even if he won them, they would not give Romney enough Electoral
College votes to put him over the top. The popular vote will most likely be
much narrower than the president's Electoral College victory.
The
Obama victory marks an end to a years-long campaign that saw historic
advertisement spending levels, countless rallies and speeches, and three
much-watched debates.
The
Romney campaign cast the election as a referendum on Obama's economic policies,
frequently comparing him to former President Jimmy Carter and asking voters the
Reagan-esque question of whether they are better off than they were four years
ago. But the Obama campaign pushed back on the referendum framing, blanketing
key states such as Ohio early on with ads painting him as a multimillionaire
more concerned with profits than people. The Obama campaign also aggressively
attacked Romney on reproductive rights issues, tying Romney to a handful of
Republican candidates who made controversial comments about rape and abortion.
These ads were one reason
Romney faced a steep likeability problem for most of the race, until his expert
performance at the first presidential debate in Denver in October. After that
debate, and a near universal panning of Obama's performance, Romney caught up
with Obama in national polls, and almost closed his favoribility gap with the
president. In polls, voters consistently gave him an edge over Obama on who
would handle the economy better and create more jobs, even as they rated Obama
higher on caring about the middle class.
But
the president's Midwestern firewall--and the campaign's impressive grassroots
operation--carried him through. Ohio tends to vote a bit more Republican
than the nation as a whole, but Obama was able to stave off that trend and hold
an edge there over Romney, perhaps due to the president's support of the auto
bailout three years ago. Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan all but moved to
Ohio in the last weeks of the campaign, trying and ultimately failing to erase
Obama's lead there.
A
shrinking electoral battleground this year meant that only 14 states were
really seen as in play, and both candidates spent most of their time and money
there. Though national polls showed the two candidates in a dead heat, Obama
consistently held a lead in the states that mattered. That, and his campaign's much-touted
get out the vote efforts and overall ground game, may be what pushed Obama over
the finish line.
Now,
Obama heads back to office facing what will most likely be bitterly partisan
negotiations over whether the Bush tax cuts should expire. The House will still
be majority Republican, with Democrats maintaining their majority in the
Senate.
The
loss may provoke some soul searching in the Republican Party. This election was
seen as a prime opportunity to unseat Obama, as polls showed Americans were unhappy
with a sluggish economy, sky-high unemployment, and a health care reform bill
that remained widely unpopular. Romney took hardline positions on immigration,
federal spending, and taxes during the long Republican primary when he faced
multiple challenges from the right. He later shifted to the center in tone on
many of those issues, but it's possible the primary painted him into a
too-conservative corner to appeal to moderates during the general election. The
candidate also at times seemed unable to effectively counter Democratic attacks
on his business experience and personal wealth.







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